How can vintage models be contamination free if a newspaper clipping with “general relativity” accidentally slipped through into the training data? I don’t see such a guarantee described in the methodology
In contrast, I asked it about the lumeniferous aether and the Michelson-Morley experiment (which was late 19th C) and it said the aether was not disproved by the experiment (even though special relativity was like 1905 or something).
So definitely the event horizon of the model’s knowledge is a bit porous/nonspecific in either direction.
Ehh I made the same trip (HW4, latest update), it’s not particularly impressive. The car gives up under harsh sunlight, tailgates big trucks leading to rock chips, switched lanes without signaling, sometimes would teeter on lane change and then swerve back.
There’s a recent Patrick Boyle video which puts it aptly: prediction markets are a wealth transfer from retail investors to trading algorithms and people with security clearances.
Anyway, one thing I don’t understand yet is how new markets are created. They aren’t user generated, so how did an “Iran strike” market exist to begin with?
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