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Stop reading things that upset you.


Isn’t it just inflation. As time passes there is more fiat in circulation, which means fiat is worth less, which means you need more fiat to buy the same amount of gold.


> Isn’t it just inflation. As time passes there is more fiat in circulation, which means fiat is worth less, which means you need more fiat to buy the same amount of gold.

Gold was absolutely flat between 2012 and 2022:

* https://www.apmex.com/gold-price

but USD money supply was increasing during that decade:

* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

See also flatness of gold prices from 1982 to 2002 with an increasing money supply. An older article:

> Sure, there were periods when gold was rising in tandem with the money supply, e.g. in the 1970s and 2000s. However, the yellow metal was in a bear market during the 1980s, 1990s and since 2011, despite the rising money supply (as indicated by the orange rectangles). The price of gold has fallen since 2011 by more than one-third, while the monetary base has increased by half and the M2 supply has risen by more than 25 percent.

* https://www.goldpriceforecast.com/explanations/gold-money-su...

There is little correlation between the two.


I'm surprised that no one is mentioning the direct effect of petrodollar (or lack thereof).

The gold price drastic increase and USD worst decline is to be be expected, and it's mainly due to the end of petrodollar agreement discussed on HN last year [1]. Somehow the Nasdaq news link is dead now but the Firstpost news is a similar one [2]. The top comment is a golden example of denial (pardon the pun), "This is itself inconsequential" [3]. This can be another Dropbox comment moment of HN. The comment also predicted that "Things will keep running as today probably for the next 20 years", and here we are in just after a year.

The negative effect to USD due to the end of petrodollar is imminent and the writing is on the wall for the gold price to increase sharply when there is no more petrodollar.

[1] U.S.-Saudi petrodollar pact ends after 50 years (325 comments):

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40673567

[2] What was the US-Saudi petrodollar deal that lapsed after 50 years?

https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/what-was-the-us-saudi-p...

[3] U.S.-Saudi petrodollar pact ends after 50 years (top comment):

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40674911


I think you may have misread "fiat" as "flat" :)

Hmm, even the kerning on my browser makes them look fairly similar.

F-I-A-T versus F-L-A-T

Hope this helps!


> I think you may have misread "fiat" [with-i] as "flat" [with-l] :)

I did not. The data I linked to shows that there is no historical, long-term correlation between M2 and gold prices.


That’s certainly part of it (and the argument most gold bugs make as to why we should all be buying gold), but gold has gone up 133% in the last 3 years which is wayyyyy beyond inflation tracking.


If Gold kept pace with inflation (roughly $35 an ounce in 1970 dollars) it would be ~$279.98 an ounce in 2025 dollars.

So inflation has almost nothing to do with the current price of gold and the grandparent post’s speculation about the futures market running hot is far more likely. The price of gold isn’t attached to the dollar and hasn’t been for over 50 years.


The retail price index probably understates the effect of inflation. The amount of gold to buy a house say has remained fairly constant over time.


I would like to see that chart because houses have also spiked significantly in price especially since 2008. That maintaining a consistent ratio would at least eliminate the dollar from the equation showing value not just dollars.

A quick sanity check of my own house would show that it would cost something like 75 ounces of gold. It was built in the 70’s and originally sold for 45,000, or well over 250 ounces of gold in gold prices from around then. Doesn’t seem right…


There's a chart here for the UK https://auronum.co.uk/gold-vs-bricks-how-many-ounces-you-nee...

It fluctuates a fair bit but starts and ends at ~150oz/house

And the US https://www.longtermtrends.net/real-estate-gold-ratio/


The other way to think about it is that the price of many other things may have gotten cheaper (in terms of labor/capital) at the same time as fiat inflation.

But how can you untangle an objective production price from the fiat / economy it's produced out of?

If that were the case, you'd expect scarce but still produced assets (e.g. housing) to have both increased in price (due to fiat inflation) and decreased in price (due to production technology efficiencies).

Which one dominates to what degree likely depends on the asset.


Inflation has been masked and understated for decades. Some of the inflation was concealed by getting rid of domestic production in favor of cheap imports. These chickens are coming home to roost.


Gold can be an asset. But the way it functions as a financial instrument is more like a short against fiat currency. That is, when inflation starts (or at least when it comes to peoples' attention), gold will move by more than the amount of inflation. When peoples' awareness of inflation goes down, gold goes down, even if inflation is still greater than zero.

Note well: This is my impression. I have not tested this hypothesis against historical data.


The fed doesn't even publish M3 anymore (which is what tells us how much fiat there is in circulation). So we really don't know. We do know that as of 2020 America no longer uses fractional reserve banking. The collateral requirements for banks are now zero. There's more kinds of inflation than just M3 growth. There's also loss of faith in the dollar. Loss of creditworthiness of the USG. But most importantly, the loss of people willing and able to work. Gold measures all of them. The value proposition of treasuries is they pay yields which means you can extract surplus value from American labor. However with such a sickly aged population, it's more of a risk that Americans will exploit the dollar to fund their own retirements instead. Goldman Sachs said a month ago when gold was $3500 that if just 1% of treasury holders decide that a rock which doesn't do anything is a safer better investment than the American people, then gold is going to go to $5000.


It's also the weakening of the dollar. If the dollar is 10% weaker, an international gold seller now needs 10% more dollars to be willing to give you their gold -- which means the "value" in dollar terms is 10% higher.


> As time passes there is more fiat in circulation, which means fiat is worth less

This isn’t always true. For one thing, the amount of fiat in ‘circulation’ isn’t just a matter of “count up all the bills printed”, but is affected by how much leverage exists in the world and many other things.

Second, even how much a fiat dollar is worth is also a factor of how much productivity there is in the world. To understand what I mean, let’s imagine a super simple economy with only fiat dollars and wheat. Every dollar is only used to buy wheat.

Say there is $1000 in bills and 1000 pounds of wheat. Each dollar is worth 1 pound of wheat. Then, we print an extra $1000 in bills; that would be inflation, and now you can only buy 1/2 pound of wheat for a dollar. That is what people imagine when we talk about printing more money causes inflation.

But what if new technology gains means we are able to produce 4000 pounds of wheat for the same amount of work; now, each $1 can buy 2 pounds of wheat. Even though we printed more money, the economy grew even faster than we printed extra money, so we didn’t get inflation and instead prices went down.

Inflation is always (generally) about the ratio between currency production and economic output growth. You can’t just look at one side of the equation.


There are also more economically active people in the world sharing (I assume) the same amount of gold.


It seems that way to me, plus Trump's erratic tariffs behavior specifically targeting swiss imports and gold specifically was in the spotlight - the US seems likely in a gold bubble partly from that chaos.


isn't this inflation?


Of course it is inflation. Has all stocks in the world and all commodities in the world and all real estate in the world increased in price? Or is it the currency that has reduced in price.

Massive inflation has reduced the value of all currencies, giving the illusion that everything has gone up in price. Well everything except for salaries that is.


That the way the parent comment is written evokes fear unnecessarily.

There are no definite provable effects of exposure of PFAS - in fact our current knowledge of them is so bad that if you use google and find a list of effects on the body from exposure of PFAS the list is endless and full of things that are unrelated, which is obviously impossible and nonsense.


They just seem like facts to me. If the reader reacts with fear, that's because they interpreted those facts as things that induce fear.


Most people have an irrational fear of one or many things, that doesn’t mean those fears have to be entertained.

The media loves to instil fear to get clicks.


The best thing to happen to Linux Desktop is not that it has improved but that its biggest competitor has dropped the ball? That’s not really praising it.


Linux is the better OS. Windows 11 just forces people to evaluate other OS's to experience the latest Linux for themselves.

I didn't have the time as a working Adult for distro hopping and Gentoo compiles, but the thought of having to live with Windows 11 made me try out modern linux again, glad I did.


Linux is now the better OS, after the other one got significantly worse than it used to be, and even that is close call depending on what you need Linux to do.


IMO, it was definitely the better OS even going back to 15 years ago. People use Windows only because of the network effect of people being school-taught how to use computers on Windows, which leads to a positive feedback loop of more software being made for it which locks-in people further.

I remember after learning Linux, how much of a toy Windows felt, with my needing to grab windows by the bar to move them around (instead of grabbing from anywhere), and trying to resize them by the thin corner (instead of resizing from anywhere), having no concept of workspaces, having no choice of window manager while Linux could engulf windows in flames and render them in a cube, only being able to backspace single characters at a time, no choice of file manager, files having weird limitations on their names, having nothing like bash (pre-powershell) while Linux had multiple shells, no block devices (this could be expanded into a lot of points), no simple way to work the partition tables, not being able to mount things wherever, not being able to treat a regular file like a disk, no real choices of filesystems, poor network utilities, ping only pings an arbitrary 3 times by default instead of just going on indefinitely, no package managers and repos, etc. I could go on a lot more probably, but this is enough. Windows XP was a toy compared to Linux.


Also not to forget the 260 character file path limitation, which still haunts Windows till date! You can lift the limits via a registry key, but programs still need support for it. Forget third-party programs, even many first-party Microsoft apps like Explorer itself still can't handle long paths.

But my biggest pet peeve with Windows is updates. Updates, updates, updates, it's such an underrated thing that Linux does so much better, I wish more folks would speak about this:

1. You only really need to reboot for kernel updates 2. Updates aren't forced upon you 3. You're in full control of the whole process - you can even decide to hold back certain packages, , or choose a different flavour that suits your needs better 4. Update everything - including thirdparty apps - from either the CLI or GUI (KDE Discover or Gnome Software etc) 5. Unlike Windows, updates rarely slow down your system, and if anything, they tend to make your system faster and better. 6. Most Linux users actually look forward to updates, whereas Windows users groan and swear at them, praying and hoping they MS doesn't break anything or add more crap/anti-features 7. When you reboot after updates, it's instant - no annoying "configuring... please don't turn of your computer" message that hijack your system when you need it the most. 8. If you've got an immutable distro, updates are atomic and can't break your system. 9. Many decent mutable distros also have the option to instantly snapshot the OS before an update, and allow you to rollback right from the boot menu.

Honestly, updates for me is easily the top reason why I feel Linux is a superior experience to Windows, I could write a whole essay on this.


> 1. You only really need to reboot for kernel updates

You don't even need to throw the userspace away. You can update the kernel, hibernate and choose the new kernel on boot. No need to close anything.


One thing I dislike is that Synaptic style proper package managers are being phased out in favour of app stores.


Are they? I continue to use the apt/dnf CLI or the Mint updater, no store app required.


Synaptic was a nice middle ground between apt and App Center / Discover.


Yes, and it no longer works? I only have fedora handy and dnfdragora is still available.


You don't need to manually enable long paths, and Explorer handles them just fine as will any other Win32 application respecting max_path.

You list many things that are advantages, but not for the regular end user, the primary target of Windows.


No it doesn't. You can navigate to long paths, but try doing any file operations (like renaming a file) and you'll see it doesn't work.

Also, the rest of my points are end user impacting. Updates impact everyone and is a very important part of an OS experience. I used to work on a helpdesk for an MSP, and you've no idea the number calls we used to get from users frustrated about updates for various reasons. Hell, we use Windows at work and I still get annoyed as a user.


Renaming works just fine on long paths.

The rest of your points don't apply to a user who buys a desktop/laptop and starts using it.


> not being able to mount things wherever

Just to clarify, this was actually like most of Windows. You could (in XP at least via Disk Manager), but they made it harder than it needed to be.

Multiple workspaces was a thing as well that came with XP Power Toys and was a feature in later versions, but not simple to access, and mostly broken because they never test it.

I made my final transition during Vista. Touching 7, 10 and 11 for work purposes means I can see that I don't miss any of it.


I’m not sure any of what you wrote is an endorsement of the grandparents comment about Windows being a superior OS 15 years ago.


It wasn't.

Windows is awful, and has terrible discovery for features, and anything off the main "happy path" is usually broken. This isn't a new thing since they fired their QA folks, it's always been bad.

It is just the "Windows can't do this" statements, when it can.


> no simple way to work the partition tables

yeah, that's exactly what your average Windows user wants from an OS


The average windows users wants it to run the software they want and not completely fucking shit the bed. Windows is allowed to be designed poorly, and it is.

But, shockingly, despite Windows goals being so small and easily achievable, Microsoft still fucks it up.

Wine is a better Win32 implementation than Win32. And Microsoft just can't help making the OS worse. Every new feature is basically strictly worse than the stuff before.

All they have to do is do nothing and continue making the same things work. But no.


you managed to pick on the one thing you don't know how to do.


I know very well how to use diskpart, thank you


Average users don't care that ping only pings 3 times by default either, you know.


Pedant point: 4 times.

Though you might not notice the last result ever if you always run it from the GUI run box instead of a console, as the resulting console in that instance closes pretty instantly after the fourth result is displayed.


I remember simple things in Linux taking hours of fudging to get them to work.


As someone who was burned by it during the 2010s, this is no longer the case. My Bazzite install worked out-of-the-box with no tweaking whatsoever. I've been on this install since April 2024.

Better hardware support, more funding and development on the desktops, Flatpak, more apps being web apps, Proton, everything converged finally.

What's odd is this machine does not work seamlessly under Windows, it doesn't support the wifi or ethernet driver out of the box and refuses to load it during Windows setup, and that of course requires an internet connection to complete now. This works fine under Linux.


I'm afraid you are not going to convince anyone like that who was not already convinced.

I've been using both Windows and Linux for the past decade, and I think we have to acknowledge that both have their strengths and weaknesses. For instance, there is no doubt that the Linux UX is less polished or that Windows makes UI customization more difficult (it is possible but you have to write dlls instead of css).

But the points you make do not really touch the core of the difference. The ability to drag windows from any point? That's horrible for people who like to click on stuff without intention to drag a window. It's like the shitty toolbars in Office 95 that were not 'locked' by default so you would accidentally move them around all the time.

Backspace only single characters? Windows 2000 already supported ctrl+bs/del, so not sure where this is going. Same for block devices, those were supported for an eternity, and were contributing to make Windows more prone to rootkits. And so on for most of the points you made - they are simply not true, perhaps because you are not familiar with Windows :(

I do agree that Linux should be preferred today for most people who are just starting out on computers. So let's get the facts straight and leave out controversial and opinionated topics that only let Windows fanboys go "Akshually".


> I do agree that Linux should be preferred today for most people who are just starting out on computers.

As someone who's used a variety of OSes (ranging from FreeBSD to Windows and macOS) on desktops and laptops, including trying out 6 Linux distros in the past couple of years (Arch, Ubuntu, Mint, Debian, Bluefin, and currently NixOS), I honestly don't understand how you end up with "Linux is the best choice for people who are just starting out".

I'm experienced and I prefer Linux, but the amount of time investment I've needed to put into troubleshooting and customizing any of these distros (from Mint having the least to NixOS having the most) has been higher than either Windows (10 or 11) or macOS.


Depends on what you’re customizing them toward. If you want to make it act exactly like macOS, that’s going to be a lifelong struggle. (The opposite is also true: I hated my Mac until I stopped trying to make it work like my Linux desktop and started doing things its way.)


I have no interest in making my Linux laptop look anything like macOS.


> The ability to drag windows from any point? That's horrible for people who like to click on stuff without intention to drag a window.

Not OP, but that's not the way it works - you'll need to press a modifier key (typically Alt or Win/Meta) along with the drag operation, so you can't do it accidentally. And you can always turn it off from the settings if you don't like this behaviour.

> I do agree that Linux should be preferred today for most people who are just starting out on computers

Why just single out newbies? Even old fogies can switch to Windows. My 70yr old mum used all versions of Windows from 3.1 - 7, and she switched to Linux about a decade ago, starting with Mint, and now on Aurora. She does all the basic tasks most PC users do (surfing the web, editing docs, printing/scanning, backing up photos etc) and has zero issues. If my mum - and old school Windows user - can use Linux, so can anyone else.

Just use a sensible distro with sane defaults (like Aurora), or a DE with a sane GUI (KDE or XFCE) and you'll be fine. The core UI /UX paradigms is the same as Windows, you just need to have an open mind and take your time getting used to the differences.

Naturally there are some people who can't deal with change, so Linux may never be an option for them, but for other folks, unless the have a legit reason to stick to Windows (like dependency on some proprietary app/workflow), Linux is a pretty viable option these days.


That's uncharitable: Stability matters, and Linux just doesn't give a fuck about breaking the environment since software is of course FOSS and can just be recompiled from sauce, right?

Meanwhile try to launch a proprietary app and have it work after some years? Lol, good luck unless you constantly update it. Windows, you can still run ancient apps because key parts of the system are stable.


Very subjective. I made the switch to Linux from Windows 7 over 10 years ago and even at that time I found Linux to be orders of magnitude better in almost every aspect, and those few areas where it was worse (which, aside from games, I'm struggling to even think of any now) were well worth the trade-off.


Linux has been better for a long, long time now.

People use Windows because of the software, not because of the operating system itself. The best thing windows can do is not assert itself and hide as much as possible. As soon as you have to start interacting with any windows systems, it becomes clear how hacky and poorly conceptualized the OS is.

The best versions of Windows were the least annoying.


Linux distros became much better than Windows during Win 10 times.


I love how people confidently claim something like this.

FWIW, for me Linux became better in the times of Windows XP.


I also love how people confidently claim something like this.

FWIW, for me Linux stopped being better than Windows around Windows 7 and still isn't back.


Windows wasn’t fully usable until the terminal and WSL shipped. And now isn’t due to adverts and loss of local accounts, and other hostile anti-features.


Windows 7 was the first version that gave me stability that made Linux feel like less of a must-have / only option.

Windows 11 largely gives me no problems and has worked perfectly fine with the hardware I've thrown at it, with no effort on my part. WSL is definitely a bonus.

The same just has not been true of Linux for me during the same time period with the same pieces of hardware.

I still happen to run NixOS on my laptop (the most recent of 6 distros, and Windows, I've tried over the past couple of years). It's not been entirely trouble-free but (thanks to the Arch wiki, mostly), it's in a decent state now.

And you are right about the hostile anti-features, though, and that promises to only get worse.

My windows PC has been relegated to games and will likely get whatever first stable, headache free SteamOS+NVIDIA incarnation turns up.

I've got no more affection for Windows than for Linux. There are just cases where the former has given me fewer headaches than the latter.


Sounds like a hardware issue on the Linux side. Been using Dell developers for decades and recently Frameworks and had only temporary issues with brand-new chipsets. Star labs tablet is great as well.

On the Windows side NT 3.5 was rock solid with limited software selection, 4 was decent, XP was fine for me behind a firewall but not everyone was so lucky on the security angle. No one liked Vista but I don't remember it being due to crashing.


The 2017 Dell developer edition XPS 13 with Ubuntu is actually one of the systems that gave me the most trouble, quite ironically.

Bluetooth loved to disappear for no reason and would only return with a reboot. No amount of unloading/reloading modules could bring it back.

Didn't have any issues with Windows on that laptop.

Current laptop is a Lenovo X1 Nano and it's behaving reasonably.


Sounds like the wireless card issue of a few years back. Believe it was fixed by replacing the cheaper module with an Intel wireless card. Never affected me.


Just in case, that was exactly my point. For different people better is defined differently.


Ah, that wasn't how I read it. We agree, then!


Both can be true, depending on a few factors.

My first attempt at Linux was installing Mandrake sometime circa 2002. I was only a kid that liked computers back then, not really an advanced user. I could not make the mouse work, and gave up. Probably for a more advanced user that was not an issue, and Linux was better already.

Many years later, around 2015, I had the option to work from a Linux environment at my workplace, and went for it. Ubuntu this time around, during Windows 7 days. Many consider Windows 7 to be peak Windows, and I found Ubuntu to be much, much better. At least for regular use and Dev work. The only thing that kept me from using it on my own PC was that running my game library was not possible back then. I did keep it on dual boot for a few years though.

What allowed me to move for good was Proton. In some ways, that is the point where I can say, without any caveats or asterisks, that Linux is definitely better.


My experience is kinsa similar to yours, started around 98/99 with Red Hat and Mandrake. Linux was just so clunky at the time. I could never take it seriously, having to compile the kernel for getting something basic going was not very fun. Although it was pretty fun trying out all the various distros that would come on free CDs bundled with computer magazines (remember those?!).

I was in fact playing around with several alternate OSes at the time, and the ones which really impressed me the most were QNX and BeOS. I absolutely loved QNX for being so performant - especially at multitasking, was smooth as butter my humble 450MHz PIII. QNX solved the desktop interactivity problem more than two *decades* before Linux did, and I think that's pretty damn impressive. And BeOS blew me away with its multimedia performance.

It wasn't until Windows 7 came out, that I decided to switch to Linux full time (started with SuSE, then Fedora and switched to Arch a few years later). Basically my reason for switching was because I wasn't eligible for Microsoft's student discount and I couldn't afford to pay the full price for 7, and I was actually really looking forward to it and really wanted to buy it instead of pirating it, thinking I could get the student discount... but no. I got really ticked off at Microsoft and decided to just format my PC and switch to Linux for good.


I agree, but that's possibly because my experience with Linux in the age of 95 and 98 was Dragon Linux, which was adapted to sitting next to a Windows installation on a FAT partition and had some limitations and instabilities.

Once I got my first consumer high end PC that was really my own and payed for with my own money, with one of the early hyperthreading CPU:s, it didn't take long until I made the move from Windows to Slackware and never looked back. I've used later Windows versions quite a lot, but spent more time in Putty sessions against Linux and BSD boxes than anything else on them.


it was the better os for me in 2005 because it allowed me to do everything I needed for class on the only laptop I could afford at the time. windows mistake edition just didn't work at all beyond booting and running a browser and even that caused it to crash several times per hour.

Linux has remained the best operating system for me since that time despite multiple upgrades to more powerful machines. everything I needed was available in the package manager. when I turned it on to work, it turned on and I worked. when I turned it off, it turned off. it didn't start upgrading and then hang, like my friends computers.

In fact I kept supporting friends on windows for a few more years, but after that I just told them I didn't know how it worked, because windows was just such mess to support.


Linux is now the better OS on the desktop for many more people after the other one got significantly¹ worse than it used to be.

It has been the better OS server-side and for appliance applications (routers, media players, …) for a long time, Windows may be drawing equal but does that count if some of it is due to WSL?

It has been the better OS, or often just the equal OS for a lot of desktop users for a fair while also, particularly non-gamers who don't need other specific tools that don't have a sufficiently compatible Linux offering/alternative. Many use it because the cost is hidden and might use something else given a properly informed choice.

I wouldn't put it in front of my Dad, even though pretty much all he does is no different on Windows than Linux and has been for years, because of compatibility concerns with printers/scanners and because there are others in the family able+willing to support Windows so he isn't stuck waiting for me if he ever has trouble while I'm difficult to contact.

I don't run Linux on my main desktop due to inertia (games are largely what kept me with Windows long enough to have to make the 8->10 transition) but that is not enough any more, partly because it just isn't really there (lack of things keeping me on Windows because they don't work well easily elsewhere, and irritations with Win11 applying a noticeable retrograde force) and partly because my use patterns have changed (modern games are not a thing in my life ATM, my hobbies have changed considerably in the last decade). That machine will be switching over to Linux when I get around to it, or it might just be shut off (almost all data is on Linux on the little house server, and off-site copies, already anyway) in which case the laptop will just gain a dock so it can better use the big screens & whatnot.

--------

[1] I might also take issue with significantly, as that might imply the change is sudden and due specifically to the Win10 EOL. Windows, both 11 & 10 and 8 before them, has been going downhill slowly enough that each extra irritation has faded into something that people put up with before the next one comes along. Recent changes (more ads etc) are generally small² but are the final straw.

[2] Recall (and the justified consternation it creates) is the one recent change that I would call significant in its own right. As irritating as the other AI stuff nagging us to give it something to do is to those of use that don't want it, in many places it just feels like an evolution of Cortana's presence from a UX PoV more than a revolution in its own right, and doesn't feel nearly as invasive overall as the Recall subset does on its own.


I think the better way to look at is that no matter how good Linux gets, if MS didn't shoot themselves in the foot it would always struggle to make headway. Even the modest headway it's made over the last couple years.

It's not about quality, it's about market dominance. Walk into any major retailer, 95% of the computers they sell have Windows on them (100% if they don't sell Apple). Go to any company and see what they run on almost all their computers, Windows. Go to any school, probably the same thing (though years ago Apple would have had a strong presence too).

And that's not even talking about business software like Office. MS built that dominance back when Linux was almost entirely focused on the server space. What Desktops did exist where mostly hobby projects or relatively small companies. Shit Linux itself was a hobby project lol.

MS has had that position for over 20 years. Windows is the Xerox of computers. A lot of people don't even realize there are options out there. In that environment, even if the Linux Desktops got better than Windows, it should have taken an absolute killer app or some big evolution in the space to get people switching. All MS had to do was keeping offering a competent product. Or even a kind of shitty one that didn't actively give people a reason to switch.

But they can't help themselves. Most of the money isn't enough, they need all the money. And they've degraded their product to the point where it is actively driving people away. And even now it'll probably take another decade for Linux Desktops to break the 10% mark.


Modern Ubuntu, for me, is akin to Windows 7 (peak Windows), but with some added benefits like real package management and mnemonics (the underlined letters in menus you can access with alt+underlined letter), and other cool things like middle-click anywhere on the window to resize.

Even Mac is pretty bad by comparison.

Again, this is just me, but I wonder if people saying Linux is bad are really just complaining it's different? It does help that I only buy hardware I know works.


Linux desktop has improved a lot, but the huge momentum of the competitor has prevented many people (including OP) from switching or even remotely considering it. Anything that decreases the momentum of Windows lets the improvements of Linux show.


I think it has improved significantly. For the last few years KDE has been great and getting more polished.

The pain points are nothing worse than the crap Windows 11 throws at you. The only difference for the average person is that their go to tech support person might not know Linux. And paid support options like the India call centre stuff that gets thrown in with a laptop purchase for a month or so doesn't exist for Linux.


As with anything, there are transition costs. If your current solution becomes worse, those transition costs become relatively lower. So it says a lot more an issue of moving over than anything about linux


Yes, of course? Linux could be immaculate, but having less than 5% user share is a bigger issue that is best solved by the current market leader cratering.


I bet you're a blast at parties.

"You say meeting them was the best thing that happened to you? What does that say about your achievements?"


Linux being the best OS didn't just "happen". It was a long process in many fronts (usability, devices, drivers, games, etc). But despite that, people are still reluctant to even try Linux, so Windows screwing around is the best thing that can happen to Linux.


I think it counts. If the most popular airline in the world suddenly started forcing you to commit to a subscription model to travel, one would consider less popular airlines going forward. Sometimes consistency of doing the job without adding hassle is more important than arriving at every destination under the sun. The problem with the Linux Desktop is it that it has a reputation as a scrappy alternative until it hits that random problem that grounds it. It will never replace Windows but it can take bigger and bigger chunks of users out of it.


The argunent is that it forced people to break their habit. Which is always the main hurdle for adoption. There is nothing innovative about Linux 2025 compared to 2024 or 2023, Windows just got worse. I say this as a 12+ years linux user. The biggest shift for the normies was Proton, and we got steam to thank for that. But Linux is more secure, reliable and hard tested as ever.


I think you missed the point. Linux was already good: it didn't become good because its competitor became worse. Rather, the competitor becoming worse gives some people the push they finally needed to make the switch.


The point of the comment is that without Microsoft misbehaving, many people wouldn't have discovered/would not discover how good Linux is now.


It’s very easy: spend an insane amount of money, usually at a time when your business can’t afford it.


That's not how it works. You just can't fire at will.

If your business can't afford to fire people it probably shouldn't be hiring too.


How do you know at the time of hiring that months or years down the road the business won’t go well?


Isn't that part of the job of being in top management? Being paid millions of bucks for your skills that should tell what your business need?

If the signs are showing that you might need to fire people, you need to think and work for that: set enough money aside to pay for severance and/or buy-outs, not just decide "oh shit, I can't pay them, and I can't pay what is needed for me to fire them", that's just incompetence.

The way you present this is like business leaders are victims that were helpless on forecasting what their businesses need, which is exactly their fucking job to do.


If you are a business owner, the business doing well is your fucking job. If you can't do your job you should fail.

What you want is the freedom to be shitty at running your company, and offload your incompetence by exploiting the workers under you.


It’s not “you” failing. If your business fails, everybody gets fired. Why is everybody getting fired better than firing a few people?


If the business fails, the owners will have to use their assets to adequately compensate the employees according to what they are owed, and the employees are free to find another job.

Let's not mince words here - if the business fails it was because of the incompetence of those managing it, and it would fail whether or not it was treating employees unfairly. I won't accept this as an excuse to erode labor rights.

Moreover, what weak-ass crybaby rhetoric is that now? I always hear that business owners should earn more because they take risks. Failing is a very real possibility when you take risks. If you don't want to take risks just don't start a business.


Your problem, not mine, lol.


Actually it’s everybody’s problem, since job inflexibility is one of the reasons why Europe is so poor compared to other first world countries.

Who exactly benefits from a business going under? Its bigger competitors? The less well off are the ones that suffer the most from oligarchic sectors and cartels.


> Europe is so poor compared to other first world countries.

By GDP per capita, 7 of the top 10 countries in the world are European.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomi...

Given this fact, will you now question your priors, or try to find a new justification for them?


Many of those countries have smaller populations and economies than American cities. The EU as a whole has less than half the GDP per capita than the USA.


>Many of those countries have smaller populations and economies than American cities

We can take NY (the state) and the Netherlands for example. Comparable populations (18-19 million), but GDP is 2.17 vs 1.27 trillion in favor of NY.

What it translates to in practice -- what kind of nice things New Yorkers have twice as much? Could is as well mean that Dutch do half the work compare to New Yorkers?


So what?

GDP is a measurement of market value of goods and services. This hyperfocus on GDP is a societal disease, and all sorts of terrible policy derives from this hyperfocus.

There's a nice public park on my neighborhood. It's a very scenic place, with a river going through it, with trees along its course, there's also a playground for kids with a large lawn area where people do picnics and relax around. Very pleasant place.

That park generates 0 GDP. From a GDP standpoint, it would make more sense to remove the public park and turn it into a concrete hellscape for people to park their cars. Large cars preferably - huge SUVs or pickup trucks for that matter, no weakass economic cheap hybrids. GDP has to grow after all.

And if that came to pass, the lives of everyone here would be miserable. But GDP would be higher, so that wins.


Hey, I didn’t pick the metric, I was just responding to someone who had.

I’ve lived in both Europe and America, and if my personal situation allowed for it right now, I’d prefer to be in Europe. But I also do think GDP can be a useful metric, especially in the long run. I think Europe has great QoL, but I think it’s naive to not look at the growth rates of the major countries in the world and not be concerned about the long-term future of the European economy.

Edit: you’re also wrong about the park. Someone paid to create it, and someone pays to maintain it. Both of those numbers show up in GDP.


> Actually it’s everybody’s problem, since job inflexibility is one of the reasons why Europe is so poor compared to other first world countries.

Except it is not. I chose to live in the EU when I had the option to move to the US, and it is fine.

Unless your measurement of "being poor" is that you can't exploit people in a get rich quick scheme and make destructive amounts of money but being acquired or dumping your IPO in the stock market.


We are talking here about businesses with say 10 employees that go through dire straits and can’t fire people to survive. The only solution is to close down and lay EVERYONE off. IPO? Get rich quick scheme? Why is hyperbole the only response to this actual issue?


Again, of the business with only 10 employees cannot survive, it was due to the incompetence of those managing it. Part of a healthy economy is allowing businesses to fail, so that others can take its place.

If demand for those services exist, other businesses will take it. If the demand is not there, the business should not exist.

How your reply is related to the previous point of "Europe being poor" is for anyone to guess.


>Europe is so poor compared to other first world countries.

is it?

>Who exactly benefits from a business going under? Its bigger competitors? The less well off are the ones that suffer the most from oligarchic sectors and cartels.

The big thing going under right now is legacy auto manufacturers in Germany. That's sad, but the same happened in US without all the labor protections. It's just a lifecycle of industries -- they got fat and comfortable.

The way German manufacturers managed to outlive US ones while having stronger labor laws seems to contradict you story big time.


> there was one time I crossed the street to avoid someone who was clearly homeless and mentally ill, but I never found myself feeling unsafe.

Seems a contradiction.


There's homeless and mentally ill people in all major cities. Or, at least, the ones that matter.

They're usually harmless, just troubled. You're not in much danger walking down the street; you're actually in much more danger driving down it.


In my experience, the largest predictor for how often you run into homeless people isn't city size, how much money the local police have, or how the residents vote, but how walkable the area is. Homeless people go where traffic is, foot traffic especially, because panhandling needs an audience.

There is a big difference between feeling uncomfortable and being in a genuinely unsafe situation, and the less you are used to seeing the homeless, the more out of touch with reality your gut feelings are.


Why are these people so obsessed with creating inflation? What does inflation do for them? I suppose they expect all this money to trickle up?


No, this is democracy in action. People don’t want noise. Antisocial characters will have to deal with it.


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